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New Study Points to Cascadia Quakes Triggering Rapid San Andreas Ruptures

Millennia of deep-sea sediment “doublets” suggest repeated back-to-back events with major implications for West Coast disaster planning.

Overview

  • Published in Geosphere, the Oregon State University–led study compares 3,100 years of turbidite records and finds recurring patterns that indicate Cascadia events often closely precede northern San Andreas ruptures.
  • Evidence points to the 1700 magnitude-9 Cascadia earthquake being followed within hours to days by a large northern San Andreas event, which a coauthor says could have approached the 1906 quake’s size.
  • Researchers identify inverted, stacked turbidite layers near Noyo Canyon as earthquake “doublets,” interpreted as finer deposits from a distant Cascadia shock overlain quickly by coarser sand from a nearby San Andreas quake.
  • The analysis suggests most major northern San Andreas earthquakes over the past roughly 2,500–3,000 years were preceded by large Cascadia events, with 1906 as a notable exception and no evidence for the reverse triggering.
  • The authors emphasize the linkage is a tested hypothesis rather than proven fact, while warning that paired quakes minutes to hours apart could strain national response across San Francisco, Portland, Seattle and Vancouver.