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New Study Links Cascadia Megathrust to Near-Synchronous San Andreas Quakes

The peer-reviewed analysis uses millennia of turbidite records to propose closely timed Cascadia–San Andreas earthquake pairs.

Overview

  • The Geosphere paper synthesizes deep-sea cores spanning roughly 3,100 years, identifying distinctive “doublet” turbidites that align across both fault systems.
  • Evidence points to the January 1700 Cascadia magnitude-9 event being followed within minutes to days by a large northern San Andreas rupture potentially reaching around magnitude 7.9.
  • Researchers report about 18 instances over roughly 3,000 years in which Cascadia earthquakes appear to precede San Andreas events, with 1906 standing out as an exception.
  • Corroborating clues include lake and tree-ring records near San Francisco and a recurring rupture initiation near Cape Mendocino that could direct stronger shaking toward the Bay Area.
  • Scientists stress the linkage remains a hypothesis pending future observation, while emergency planners note that near-synchronous quakes could overwhelm response capacity and elevate tsunami and shaking risks across multiple cities.