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New Satellite Mapping Shows Many Major River Deltas Are Sinking Faster Than the Sea

The Nature study identifies groundwater depletion as the strongest global driver of subsidence.

Overview

  • Researchers produced the first high‑resolution, delta‑wide map of vertical land motion across 40 major deltas using InSAR, resolving changes at 75 square meters.
  • Subsidence already exceeds local sea‑level rise in 18 deltas, elevating near‑term flood risk for more than 236 million people.
  • Deltas with some of the highest rates include the Chao Phraya, Mekong, Nile, Ganges–Brahmaputra, Yellow River, and Mississippi, with average sinking near 4 millimeters per year and hotspots at more than twice the global sea‑level rise rate.
  • Groundwater withdrawal is the dominant predictor of sinking land, with reduced river sediment supply and urban expansion also driving regional variability.
  • The authors call for immediate, locally targeted actions such as cutting groundwater pumping and managed aquifer recharge, alongside investments to expand and publicly share subsidence monitoring.