Overview
- Paraná Pesquisas shows a technical tie for DF governor, with Celina Leão at 32.2% and José Roberto Arruda at 29.8% within a 2.6-point margin of error.
- The DF Senate trial heats list Michelle Bolsonaro near 34% and Ibaneis Rocha near 30% as the most cited in two-vacancy scenarios, while spontaneous responses show high indecision.
- Ibaneis’ administration records 61% approval in the DF, with 35.9% disapproval, based on 1,506 interviews conducted Oct. 23–27.
- Runoff simulations keep Celina and Arruda essentially even head-to-head, while both defeat Leandro Grass by wide margins.
- An Instituto Gerp survey in Rio de Janeiro finds Mayor Eduardo Paes leading all tested gubernatorial scenarios, with Flávio Bolsonaro and Benedita da Silva most mentioned for the Senate.