Overview
- A UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll finds 60% of likely voters backing Prop 50 versus 38% opposed.
- The latest PPIC survey shows 56% support and 43% opposition, with 68% of respondents calling the outcome very important.
- Polling indicates a sharp voting‑mode split, with mail voters leaning yes by wide margins and projected Election Day voters leaning no.
- Prop 50 would pause the independent commission and let the Legislature draw California’s congressional districts for the 2026–2030 cycles.
- Analyses cited in coverage say the new map could shift up to five GOP‑held seats, including districts 1, 3, 22, 41 and 48.