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New Polls Show Massie Leading Trump-Backed Gallrein in Kentucky GOP Primary

The early polling turns the May 19 GOP primary into a test of the president’s sway with Republican voters.

Overview

  • Two early April surveys show Rep. Thomas Massie ahead of Ed Gallrein, with Quantus Insights measuring 46.8% to 37.7% and Big Data Poll finding a narrower 52% to 48%.
  • Quantus reported 14% of likely GOP voters still undecided, highlighting room for movement as name recognition favors the 12-year incumbent.
  • President Trump has thrown his weight behind Gallrein, holding a rally in March in Hebron, Kentucky, and labeling Massie disloyal in public attacks.
  • Massie’s breaks with the White House include pressing the Justice Department to release Jeffrey Epstein-related files, voting against a Trump-backed budget, and criticizing plans for war in Iran.
  • Kentucky’s 4th District is safely Republican, so the May 19 primary will likely decide the seat, and a Massie win could embolden GOP critics of Trump while keeping alive talk of a future governor bid.