Overview
- In multi-candidate September polling, Mamdani led in the low-to-mid 40s as Cuomo trailed in the mid-20s, but several one-on-one tests showed a tighter race.
- Tulchin Research found Cuomo leading Mamdani 52% to 41% in a simulated head-to-head, while Emerson, Marist, and NYT/Siena reported smaller gaps that still narrowed Mamdani’s advantage.
- Mayor Eric Adams has suspended his campaign, and although the withdrawal came after ballot deadlines, new coverage highlights how his exit could ease vote consolidation.
- The official November 4 ballot lists five candidates: Zohran Mamdani (Democrat), Andrew Cuomo (independent), Curtis Sliwa (Republican), Irene Estrada (Conservative), and Joseph Hernández (independent).
- Issue polling shows Mamdani trusted more on affordability (49% to 23% over Cuomo) and some surveys report a gender divide in a one-on-one, with men leaning to Mamdani and women toward Cuomo.