Overview

• New York Times/Siena survey of 1,284 likely voters (Sept. 2–6, MOE ±3.6) shows Zohran Mamdani at 46%, Andrew Cuomo 24%, Curtis Sliwa 15% and Eric Adams 9%.
• An Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill poll (Sept. 7–8, n=600, MOE ≈±3.9) finds a similar landscape with Mamdani 43%, Cuomo 28%, Sliwa 10% and Adams 7%.
• The race tightens in a two-person test: Times/Siena has Mamdani 48% to Cuomo 44%, while Emerson shows 47% to 40% with 13% undecided.
• Pollsters say consolidation would mainly help Cuomo, but both Adams and Sliwa have publicly rejected stepping aside as reports describe Trump advisers exploring inducements to narrow the field.
• Across polls, Mamdani’s advantage is linked to dominance with younger voters and trust on cost-of-living and housing, with the Times/Siena finding roughly a majority viewing him as inspirational.