Overview
- Fresh Ifop and Elabe surveys show Emmanuel Grégoire’s left alliance narrowly leading the first round, at roughly 30–33% to Rachida Dati’s high‑20s, with gaps within margins of error.
- Pierre‑Yves Bournazel hovers around 16% in third place and Sophia Chikirou is near the 10% threshold, making a rare four‑list runoff a realistic scenario in March.
- Reconquête’s Sarah Knafo formally entered the race this week, launched local campaigning in the 16th arrondissement, and is polling around 7–8%, ahead of RN’s Thierry Mariani in several readings.
- Former Paris mayor Bertrand Delanoë publicly endorsed Grégoire on Sunday during a market stop, underscoring efforts to consolidate support on the left.
- Dati remains a leading contender on themes of security, traffic and cleanliness, even as she faces a trial scheduled in September in the Carlos Ghosn affair.