Overview

• Quinnipiac surveyed 1,579 registered voters Sept. 25–29 (±3.3 points) and found Shapiro leading Stacy Garrity 55%–39% and Doug Mastriano 56%–39%.
• Shapiro’s job approval stands at 60 percent overall, including support from 93% of Democrats, 66% of independents, and 28% of Republicans.
• Garrity remains little-known statewide, with 73 percent of voters saying they haven’t heard enough to form an opinion.
• Mastriano, the GOP’s 2022 nominee, is discussed as a prospective 2026 contender but has not announced a campaign.
• Political handicappers rate the 2026 race as Likely Democratic, and the poll shows Shapiro leading Vice President J.D. Vance by about 10 points in a hypothetical 2028 matchup within Pennsylvania.