Overview

• Quinnipiac finds Mamdani at 46%, Cuomo 33% and Sliwa 15% among 1,015 likely voters surveyed Oct. 3–7, with a margin of error of ±3.9 points.
• New York City’s Campaign Finance Board awarded matching funds: $2.33 million to Cuomo, $1.16 million to Sliwa and $1.03 million to Mamdani, while Adams was denied again.
• Mamdani leads among Democrats, Asian American voters and younger voters, and his backers show the highest enthusiasm; Cuomo leads among Jewish voters, with Sliwa dominant among Republicans.
• On issues, voters prefer Mamdani to lower housing costs, give Cuomo an edge on growing the economy, and see little daylight between them on working with President Trump; 41% say Mamdani’s Israel–Hamas views are closest to theirs, and his Netanyahu ICC-warrant pledge divides voters 43%–38%.
• Mamdani is courting skeptical business audiences with talk of public–private partnership while defending a rent freeze and flagging property tax reform, as his campaign adopts low‑risk events and touts an 80,000‑strong volunteer army.