Overview

• A Quinnipiac poll released on April 11, 2025, shows Democrats and Republicans tied at 33% on the question of which party cares more for the needs of ordinary people.
• This marks a dramatic shift from historical trends, where Democrats consistently held double-digit leads on this metric, including a 13-point lead in 2017 and a 23-point lead in 2005.
• Republicans have made significant gains among non-college educated, working-class voters, flipping a 7-point Democratic advantage in 2017 to a 9-point Republican lead in 2025.
• The shift is occurring during economic uncertainty tied to President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which have impacted voter perceptions and economic conditions.
• Analysts suggest this realignment in voter sentiment could shape the 2026 midterm elections, potentially favoring Republican candidates despite historical challenges for incumbent parties.