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New Poll Puts Mamdani Up 13 as Cuomo Gains After Adams Exit

Quinnipiac credits Cuomo’s rise to Adams voters consolidating, with Mamdani’s base reporting unusually high enthusiasm.

Overview

  • A Quinnipiac survey conducted Oct. 3–7 finds Zohran Mamdani at 46%, Andrew Cuomo at 33% and Republican Curtis Sliwa at 15% among likely voters.
  • Cuomo has climbed about 10 points since early September, narrowing Mamdani’s advantage from roughly 22 points to 13 following Eric Adams’ withdrawal.
  • The New York City Board of Elections’ finalized ballot lists some candidates twice and retains withdrawn names such as Adams and Jim Walden.
  • Nearly three-quarters of likely voters say Cuomo has the right experience, yet a majority view him unfavorably and 54% say he is not ethical, reflecting fallout from his 2021 resignation.
  • About 90% of Mamdani supporters report being very or somewhat enthusiastic, though New York City’s historically low turnout remains a potential constraint.