New Poll Puts Jara Ahead in Chile’s First Round, Yet Trails in Runoff Matchups

Overview

• An AtlasIntel survey released days before voting shows left‑wing contender Jeannette Jara with roughly 32% of first‑round intentions, ahead of José Antonio Kast near 20%.
• In hypothetical second rounds, Jara falls to all opponents, including a head‑to‑head loss to Kast by about 47% to 39%.
• Right‑leaning rivals Kast, Johannes Kaiser, Evelyn Matthei and Franco Parisi are clustered within the poll’s ±2‑point margin of error, underscoring a fragmented field.
• Reporting describes voter frustration on the left and a strengthened conservative electorate shaping perceptions of the runoff.
• This is the first presidential contest conducted under automatic voter registration and compulsory voting enacted in 2022.