Overview

• The Upswing Research & Strategy poll of 501 likely voters, conducted Aug. 5–10 for the Democratic PAC Bucks United, found 53% unfavorable and 42% favorable for President Donald Trump, a net -11.
• The reading marks a decline from a prior local measure last September that showed 50% unfavorable and 45% favorable, a net -5.
• Bucks County, a Philadelphia suburb that Joe Biden carried in 2020 and Trump won by less than one point in 2024, has recently given Republicans a narrow registration edge.
• The same survey reported Gov. Josh Shapiro at 55% favorable and 27% unfavorable, with about one quarter of Republicans viewing him positively.
• Reporters note the findings come from a partisan, private poll with a ±4.4 percentage point margin of error and should be considered alongside other polling and broader trends.