Overview
- Emerson College Polling/Inside California Politics shows Chad Bianco at 13%, Steve Hilton at 12%, Eric Swalwell at 12% and Katie Porter at 11%, with 31% undecided.
- Swalwell is the leading Democratic candidate at 12%, narrowly ahead of Porter at 11% in the Dec. 1–2 survey of 1,000 active registered voters with a ±3 percentage-point credibility interval.
- Favorability and recognition remain soft: Porter is 30% favorable/34% unfavorable with 37% unsure, and Swalwell is 24% favorable/23% unfavorable with 53% unsure.
- Republican voters split between Bianco and Hilton at 33% and 30% respectively, while 45% of independents report being undecided, according to the pollster.
- Gov. Gavin Newsom’s job approval stands at 47% (net +8), and voters are evenly divided on whether his endorsement would help or hurt a candidate, with roughly a third saying no difference.