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New Poll Finds Democrats Hold Motivation Edge and Generic-Ballot Lead as Voters Rebuke Trump's First Year

The findings point to a sour public mood on the economy.

Overview

  • A CNN/SSRS survey conducted January 9–12 shows Democrats up 5 points on the generic congressional ballot, widening to a 16-point advantage among voters who say they are deeply motivated.
  • Most Americans judge President Trump’s first year of his second term a failure, with only 29% of independents approving of his job performance.
  • Approval of Democratic leaders in Congress stands at 28% versus 35% for Republican leaders, and 71% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say their party has been ineffective at opposing Trump.
  • The most intensely motivated Democratic-aligned voters are more likely to feel unrepresented and to demand tougher opposition, a pressure that the poll suggests could influence primary challenges.
  • Commentary synthesizing multiple polls highlights blue-collar white women as a key swing group driven by economic and health-care concerns, while separate analysis notes some surveys rate Republicans in Congress stronger on issues despite dissatisfaction with Trump.