Overview
- Renan Filho polls at 48% and João Henrique Caldas at 45% for governor, a statistical tie within the survey’s ±3 percentage point margin.
- Rejection rates show 26% say they would never vote for JHC, compared with 23% who reject Renan Filho.
- For governor, 4% intend to cast a null or blank vote and 3% are undecided or did not answer.
- In the Senate race, Renan Calheiros leads with 26%, followed by Davi Davino at 21%, Alfredo Gaspar at 18%, Arthur Lira at 13%, Paulão at 9%, and Ítalo Bonja at 1%, with 5% null/blank and 7% undecided.
- The poll interviewed 1,200 voters from Nov. 21–24 with 95% confidence, and Alagoas voters will choose two senators in 2026.