Overview

• Fielded Sep. 27–29 with 2,500 interviews, the poll puts government approval at 44% versus 51% disapproval, narrowing the gap from 17 points in May to 7.
• Catholics now register net approval of the administration at 51% to 42%, while evangelicals remain largely negative at 66% to 29%.
• Voters split 38% to 38% on whether Lula’s government is better or worse than Bolsonaro’s, with 22% seeing no difference.
• Personal ratings for Lula remain negative, with 43% saying his performance is poor or very poor, 23% good or excellent, and 32% regular.
• Results carry a ±2-point margin of error from a phone/URA sample across 178 municipalities, with approval stronger among women and younger voters and disapproval higher in the South and Center-West.