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New Model Reveals How X-Rays and Electron Avalanches Ignite Lightning

It offers the first complete physics-based account of lightning initiation through runaway electron avalanches driven by thundercloud X-rays.

Credit: NASA/ALOFT Team
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Photo by Leon Contreras on Unsplash
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Overview

  • Victor Pasko and colleagues published the Photoelectric Feedback Discharge model on July 28 in the Journal of Geophysical Research, providing the first quantitative explanation of how lightning initiates.
  • The framework shows that strong thundercloud electric fields accelerate electrons, which collide with air molecules to emit X-rays and trigger cascading avalanches that spawn lightning bolts.
  • It explains terrestrial gamma-ray flashes without visible light or radio emissions by attributing them to compact, variable-strength runaway electron avalanches.
  • Doctoral student Zaid Pervez matched simulations to data from ground sensors, satellites and high-altitude aircraft, including a TGF linked to a lightning bolt in Kanazawa, Japan.
  • All model equations are publicly available, giving researchers a standardized tool for advancing storm dynamics research, aviation safety and infrastructure resilience.