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New Mexico Braces for Slowdown in Oil Income

State seeks new revenue streams and bolsters public spending as oil-generated surplus is projected to decline

  • New Mexico, the nation's No. 2 oil production state, is grappling with how to manage and spend its petroleum-generated income, which is expected to slow down as global demand for oil wanes.
  • The state is projected to have a $3.5 billion general fund surplus for the year running through June 2025, largely driven by oil and natural gas production in the Permian Basin.
  • New Mexico is seeking new revenue streams to shift its dependence on oil, including a $500 million initiative to treat fracking wastewater, despite criticism that it might encourage more petroleum drilling.
  • The increase in government income has allowed the state to expand agency budgets, reduce taxes, and bolster spending on public education and colleges, which account for about 58% of annual state general fund spending.
  • Despite the increase in funding, the state's education system is struggling, with only 38% of students reading at their grade level and a high school graduation rate of 76%, well below the national average of 87%.
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