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New Marist Poll Shows Democrats Up 14 Points on 2026 Congressional Ballot

A surge among independents and a 39% Trump approval point to voter focus on high prices as the driving force.

Overview

  • The NPR/PBS News/Marist survey of registered voters finds Democrats leading Republicans 55% to 41%, the party’s biggest edge in that tracker since 2017 (polled Nov. 10–13; margin of error about 3.1 points).
  • Independents break decisively for Democrats, with 61% preferring a Democratic House candidate to 28% for a Republican in the Marist poll.
  • Lowering prices ranks as the public’s clear priority at 57%, far outpacing immigration and crime, as Trump’s job approval registers at 39% with 56% disapproving.
  • Nationally, roughly six in ten respondents blame Trump or congressional Republicans for the 43-day shutdown, while a Utah Morning Consult poll shows more voters there primarily fault congressional Democrats.
  • A separate Marquette Law School national poll shows a smaller Democratic advantage (49%–44%), and polling aggregates cited by Axios put the lead near 4–5 points as confidence in Congress remains near 20%.