Overview

• Quantus Insights reports Sherrill at 48.1% and Ciattarelli at 45.8% among likely voters sampled Sept. 29–30, within the poll’s ±3.3-point margin of error and powered by a 13-point Ciattarelli advantage among independents.
• The Fox News survey conducted Sept. 25–28 finds Sherrill leading 50% to 42% among likely voters and 48% to 41% among registered voters, with both camps showing high vote certainty but some voters still movable.
• The National Personnel Records Center acknowledged mistakenly releasing largely unredacted portions of Sherrill’s military file and apologized, while Sherrill’s campaign sent cease-and-desist letters seeking the documents’ return.
• Republican lawmakers Christopher Smith, Jeff Van Drew and Tom Kean Jr., along with Ciattarelli’s campaign, are pressing Sherrill to authorize full release of her Naval Academy records after reports she was barred from walking at her 1994 graduation.
• Earlier polling from Emerson showed a 43%-43% tie, and the campaign’s final month now centers on affordability concerns, Trump’s role in the race, and the next debate scheduled for Oct. 8.