Overview

• The Sept. 22–23 survey of 935 likely voters shows Mikie Sherrill and Jack Ciattarelli at 43% each with 11% undecided, within a ±3.1-point credibility interval.
• Support splits by demographics, with younger voters and women favoring Sherrill while men and voters over 50 back Ciattarelli.
• Voters rank the economy as the top concern at 51%, followed by threats to democracy at 13% and housing affordability at 11%.
• President Donald Trump’s approval in New Jersey stands at 41% approve and 51% disapprove, and voters are nearly evenly divided on whether the next governor should work with or stand up to his administration (49% vs. 51%).
• On rising costs, 30% blame utility companies and 22% blame the governor for higher bills, 46% say multiple actors drive property tax rates, and 46% support school district mergers to reduce costs.