Overview
- An Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill survey shows Mikie Sherrill at 49% and Jack Ciattarelli at 48%, a statistical tie within the ±3 point margin of error.
- Associated Press advance-vote data report nearly 735,000 early and absentee ballots cast, with about 56% from Democrats and 27% from Republicans.
- Total spending is projected to exceed $200 million as national parties pour money into the race, with Barack Obama supporting Sherrill and President Donald Trump endorsing Ciattarelli.
- Emerson’s analysis shows a sharp gender gap, with men favoring Ciattarelli by roughly 16 points and women favoring Sherrill by roughly 18.
- The closing stretch features personal attacks, including Sherrill’s allegation linking Ciattarelli to opioid harms and his threat to sue for defamation.