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11h ago

New Jersey Governor’s Race Enters Final Day With Democratic Ad Edge and Tight Polls

Democrats' spending advantage faces a late GOP turnout push led by Trump’s operation.

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California Gov. Gavin Newsom speaks during a rally in support of a "Yes" vote on Proposition 50, a congressional redistricting measure in the November 4 special election, at the Los Angeles Convention Center in Los Angeles, California, on Nov. 1, 2025.
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Overview

  • Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 4, with polls open statewide from 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
  • Most independent surveys put Democrat Mikie Sherrill ahead of Republican Jack Ciattarelli by roughly 5 to 10 points, though late individual polls show narrower gaps.
  • A Suffolk University poll has Sherrill up 4 points and an AtlasIntel survey shows a 1-point edge, underscoring a turnout-dependent finish.
  • Since June, Sherrill and allied groups have booked $61 million in ads versus $41 million for Ciattarelli and GOP allies, according to AdImpact data reported by Axios.
  • Trump’s political operation is funding a last-minute voter turnout effort exceeding $1 million in New Jersey, as prediction markets currently favor Sherrill by wide margins on Polymarket and Kalshi.