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3h ago

New Jersey Governor’s Race Deadlocked at 43–43 in New Emerson Poll

A fresh survey showing 11% undecided highlights a tightened contest driven by affordability concerns, including higher utility costs.

Jack Ciattarelli participates in the New Jersey gubernatorial debate on September 21, 2025 in Lawrenceville, New Jersey.
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WASHINGTON, DC - FEBRUARY 28: U.S. Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D-NJ) questions witnesses in a hearing of the House Select Committee on Strategic Competition between the United States and the Chinese Communist Party, in the Cannon House Office Building on February 28, 2023 in Washington, DC. The committee is investigating economic, technological and security competition between the U.S. and China. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)
The path to victory for either candidate in this year's race for governor in New Jersey runs through Morris County.

Overview

  • Emerson College/PIX11/The Hill surveyed 935 somewhat or very likely voters Sept. 22–23, finding Sherrill and Ciattarelli at 43% each with a ±3.1-point credibility interval.
  • A pronounced split emerges by gender and age: women favor Sherrill 46%–36% as men back Ciattarelli 51%–39%, and voters under 40 break strongly for Sherrill while those over 50 lean to Ciattarelli; women are more often undecided than men (15% vs. 6%).
  • Voters cite the economy as the top issue (51%), and on rising utility costs they chiefly blame utility companies (30%) or the governor (22%), reflecting the campaign’s focus on affordability.
  • The tie contrasts with earlier public polls showing Sherrill ahead, alongside a recent Ciattarelli internal survey putting him up by one point; major handicappers still rate the race Leans Democrat.
  • The result follows the first televised debate and a flurry of advertising, with President Trump amplifying the poll while backing Ciattarelli, as early voting is set to begin on Oct. 25.