Overview

• Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill finds Mikie Sherrill and Jack Ciattarelli tied at 43% each, with 11% undecided among 935 likely voters surveyed Sept. 22–23 (±3.1).
• Voters under 40 and women favor Sherrill, while men and voters over 50 lean toward Ciattarelli, with women notably more undecided than men.
• The economy ranks as the top issue for 51% of respondents, and voters divide responsibility for rising utility costs between companies and Gov. Phil Murphy.
• President Trump registers a 41% approve/51% disapprove rating in New Jersey, Murphy sits at 35% approve/44% disapprove, and voters split 51%–49% on whether the next governor should stand up to or work with the Trump administration.
• The tie follows the first debate and new TV ads, as Ciattarelli stresses affordability and electricity bills and receives public praise from Trump.