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New Hampshire Poll Puts J.D. Vance Far Ahead in Early 2028 GOP Field

The Saint Anselm survey offers an early, hypothetical snapshot that underscores Vance’s strength with Granite State Republicans.

Overview

  • A Saint Anselm College Survey Center poll of 2,112 New Hampshire registered voters conducted Nov. 18–19 finds 57% of Republican voters would back Vice President J.D. Vance in 2028 if he runs, with a margin of error of ±2.1 points.
  • Marco Rubio registers 9% and Ron DeSantis 7%, while Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, and Tulsi Gabbard each draw 4%, and Ted Cruz and Glenn Youngkin come in at 1%.
  • Poll administrators corrected an initial posting that listed Vance at 54%, clarifying his support stands at 57%.
  • On the Democratic side of the same poll, Pete Buttigieg leads at 28% with Gavin Newsom at 24%, with the rest of the field in single digits.
  • Vance’s standing is viewed in the context of his RNC finance chair role with the committee reporting over $86 million on hand in mid-November, while Politico has reported Rubio may forgo a 2028 run to back Vance and President Trump has called a Vance–Rubio ticket “unstoppable.”