Overview
- In his first public remarks as a governor, Miran told the Economic Club of New York that policy is well into restrictive territory and said the appropriate federal funds rate is in the mid-2 percent range.
- He was the sole dissent in last week’s 11–1 vote for a quarter-point cut, arguing for a half-point move and laying out a path for larger, faster reductions than the FOMC majority favors.
- Miran argues immigration restrictions will ease rent pressures and lower measured inflation, projecting CPI rent inflation falling from roughly 3.5% to below 1.5% by 2027, which he says would trim PCE by about 0.3 percentage point.
- He played down tariff-driven price risks, while other Fed officials warned that core inflation near 3% and trade costs call for caution and limited additional easing.
- Miran is serving on the Fed board while on leave as chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, prompting independence concerns as investors price a high likelihood of at least one more quarter-point cut this year.