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New Analysis of Campus Surveys Finds Nonbinary Identification Down to 3.6% in 2025

The non–peer-reviewed synthesis, drawn from FIRE and institutional polls, is contested by broader youth studies such as UCLA’s Williams Institute.

Overview

  • Eric Kaufmann’s review of multiple datasets reports U.S. undergraduates identifying as a gender other than male or female fell from 6.8% in 2022–2023 to 5.2% in 2024 and 3.6% in 2025.
  • Declines are steep at some elite schools, with Andover Phillips Academy dropping from 9.2% in 2023 to 3% in 2025 and Brown University from 5% in 2022–2023 to 2.6% in 2025.
  • The analysis relies heavily on FIRE’s large 2025 campus survey of roughly 60,000–68,000 students, which asks whether respondents identify as a gender other than male or female.
  • Kaufmann suggests improved post-pandemic mental health may partly explain the shift and notes stable student political and religious views, while outside experts cite politics and caution against firm causal claims.
  • Other measures show different patterns, with UCLA’s Williams Institute reporting higher counts of transgender-identifying youth, underscoring that population-wide trends remain disputed as the report gains wide attention online.