Overview
- Dutch exit polls indicate D66 at 27 seats, ahead of Geert Wilders’s PVV on 25, VVD on 23, GL‑PvdA on 20 and CDA on 19 out of 150.
- Most major parties have ruled out governing with Wilders after he toppled the last coalition, raising the likelihood of lengthy negotiations or an alternative alliance without PVV.
- Henri Bontenbal’s CDA and Rob Jetten’s D66 have rebounded, positioning centrist parties as potential kingmakers in the coalition talks.
- The campaign was driven by concerns over migration, housing shortages, security and climate policy, with nearly four in ten voters undecided heading into election day.
- The early vote followed Wilders’s June withdrawal from the Schoof-led coalition; the Netherlands’ pure proportional system and 27 competing parties make single‑party rule impossible.