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Netflix's Post-Earnings Sell-Off Spurs Debate Over One-Time Tax Hit Versus Valuation Risks

Investors are weighing a one-time Brazil tax charge against concerns about lofty valuation.

Overview

  • Quarterly revenue grew about 17% year over year and matched Wall Street expectations, despite a headline EPS miss.
  • The company booked a roughly $619 million noncash Brazilian tax assessment that cut reported operating margin to about 28% versus a prior 31.5% outlook, with full-year 2025 margin now guided to 29% from 30%.
  • Shares fell 10.1% the day after results and lost roughly $46 billion in market value, with the stock drifting lower in subsequent sessions.
  • Some commentary frames the pullback as an overreaction to an accounting item, pointing to Netflix’s history of sharp earnings-day moves and past recoveries.
  • A bearish view highlights a premium multiple near 45 times 2025 earnings and warns growth could slow as major levers like password-sharing crackdowns and the ad tier mature, alongside rising content and live-event costs.