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Netflix Shares Lag Tech Rally on Valuation Concerns Ahead of Q2 Earnings

Investors have grown cautious after a 5.5% sell-off on doubts over whether Netflix’s 41× forward multiple is justified by ad-tier gains, live events or its content pipeline.

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Overview

  • Netflix stock has fallen 5.5% in July, underperforming the broader tech market rally.
  • Analysts project July 17 Q2 results to deliver $7.06 EPS on $11.04 billion in revenue.
  • Analysts at Evercore ISI warn that Netflix’s roughly 41× forward earnings multiple leaves little room for error, while JPMorgan cautions that the stock’s upside may already be priced in.
  • The ad-supported tier now reaches roughly 94 million global monthly users with ad revenue expected to double next year.
  • Netflix’s content pipeline for the second half of the year includes new seasons of Squid Game, Wednesday and Stranger Things.