Overview

• United Torah Judaism filed its resignation on July 15, initiating a 48-hour countdown to remove its six MKs from the coalition.
• On July 16, Shas followed UTJ by announcing its exit over a stalled draft exemption bill, confirming the loss of the government’s slim majority.
• The dispute centers on a Supreme Court ruling that ended decades of yeshiva student draft exemptions and the failure of legislation to restore them.
• Netanyahu faces a narrow window to negotiate a compromise on conscription rules before parliament’s summer break or risk government collapse and early elections.
• With a minority government, Netanyahu may depend more heavily on far-right factions that oppose major concessions in the Gaza ceasefire talks.