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NDP Faces Historic Collapse, Losing Working-Class Support to Conservatives

The party's drop to seven seats and 6.3% of the vote marks its worst performance since 1993, with analysts calling for a major policy and outreach overhaul.

New Democratic Party Leader Jagmeet Singh makes a point to Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre during the French-language federal leaders' debate, in Montreal, Wednesday, April 16, 2025.
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New Democratic Party Leader Jagmeet Singh addresses supporters at his campaign headquarters on election night, in Burnaby, B.C., Monday, April 28, 2025. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Darryl Dyck

Overview

  • The NDP fell from 25 seats in 2021 to just seven in the 2025 federal election, with leader Jagmeet Singh losing his seat and stepping down.
  • Union and working-class voters shifted to the Conservatives, citing affordability issues like housing, cost of living, and immigration as key concerns.
  • Ipsos data shows that 19% of 2021 NDP voters moved to the Liberals, while 5% switched to the Conservatives, further fragmenting the progressive vote.
  • Critics, including former MP Charlie Angus, argue the NDP's leader-driven campaign and lack of distinct policy offerings alienated core supporters.
  • The party now faces a polarized two-party landscape, with Liberals and Conservatives capturing over 90% of votes outside Quebec, and must rebuild its connection with grassroots and union voters.