Overview
- The NDA won about 148 of 243 seats in the Bihar assembly as the RJD fell to roughly 16, resetting the state’s legislative arithmetic.
- In 2026, five Rajya Sabha seats from Bihar fall vacant, including those of RJD’s Prem Chand Gupta and A D Singh, and the NDA’s strength meets the roughly 42-MLA quota per seat.
- With four seats secure on first-preference votes, the NDA can claim the fifth through transferred preferences under the single transferable vote system.
- Another five seats come up in 2028, including RJD’s Faiyaz Ahmad, and current numbers indicate the NDA is positioned to take those as well.
- If the NDA captures all 10 seats through 2028, it could add three to its national Rajya Sabha tally, leaving RJD at risk of having no Bihar member by 2030 unless it gains unlikely outside support.