Overview
- Counting and vote-share trends put the NDA near 48% versus about 37% for the Grand Alliance, indicating a commanding lead in the 243-seat assembly.
- The Grand Alliance finished with 35 seats at a 14.4% strike rate, with the RJD limited to 25 seats and a 17.5% strike rate.
- Tejashwi Yadav’s high-value welfare pledges were dismissed by rivals as unworkable, while Nitish Kumar’s scheme implementation record resonated more with voters.
- The RJD’s Muslim–Yadav coalition showed strain, with Muslims in Seemanchal shifting toward AIMIM, which captured five seats after discontent over the VIP deputy-CM projection.
- Family rifts and limited involvement from Lalu Prasad Yadav fed leadership doubts around Tejashwi, and HT analysis finds Yadavs will not be the single-largest sub-caste in the new assembly.