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NDA Gains Edge in Bihar as CongressRJD Rift Over CM Face Widens

Opinion polls now favor the NDA, reflecting leadership uncertainty plus seat-sharing strains in the opposition.

Overview

  • Congress is pressing a no–CM face strategy modeled on Maharashtra, while the RJD continues to push Tejashwi Yadav as the alliance’s chief ministerial nominee.
  • Seat-sharing talks have turned contentious, with reports of Congress seeking a large quota and even a Deputy Chief Minister post, further unsettling partners.
  • Recent surveys place the NDA ahead, with Nitish Kumar leading the preferred CM question and analysts crediting his local standing alongside Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s appeal.
  • Internal pressure has surfaced from allies, as Left parties publicly demanded clarity on seat allocation and criticized delays that signal disunity.
  • Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj is viewed by analysts as a potential vote-splitter, even as the NDA banks on governance credentials and new welfare payouts such as ₹10,000 support for women.