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NBA’s 2026 Outlook: Predictions Diverge on Thunder Repeat, Giannis’ Future and Expansion

Early 2026 coverage examines how last year’s injuries, investigations and upheaval are shaping the title race.

Overview

  • After a year defined by Luka Dončić’s trade to the Lakers, Oklahoma City’s first title and Dallas landing rookie cornerstone Cooper Flagg, analysts say those shifts set the stage for 2026.
  • Tyrese Haliburton and Jayson Tatum both ruptured Achilles tendons in the 2025 playoffs, and reporting points to Tatum targeting an early-2026 return that could recalibrate Boston’s ceiling.
  • Federal cases tied to illegal gambling led to indictments of Terry Rozier and Chauncey Billups; both pleaded not guilty, remain on unpaid leave and are subjects of ongoing NBA inquiries.
  • Outlets forecast Oklahoma City as the team to beat, with projections ranging from a Thunder repeat and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander as MVP to an OKC push toward a 70-win season.
  • Speculation diverges on major structural moves in 2026, with conflicting projections on Giannis Antetokounmpo’s future in Milwaukee and on whether the NBA will opt for expansion or hold off.