Overview
- The study assesses 213 heatwaves worldwide from 2000 to 2023, finding that recent extremes have become both more likely and more intense due to human-caused warming.
- Heatwaves were about 20 times more probable in the 2000s and about 200 times more probable in the 2010s compared with a world without anthropogenic warming.
- For 55 of the 213 events, the probability increased by at least 10,000 times, implying such heatwaves would have been virtually impossible without climate change.
- Emissions attributed across the full value chain of 180 major fossil fuel and cement companies account for roughly half of the rise in heatwave intensity since pre-industrial times, with the 14 largest firms contributing as much as the other 166 combined.
- Authors say the methods could strengthen evidence used in climate lawsuits as cases expand against energy and cement firms, following a German court’s recognition of global corporate responsibility for climate damages.