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Nature Study Sharply Lowers Practical Global CO2 Storage Limit, Recasts Role of CCS

Researchers say policymakers should view underground storage as a limited tool for targeted use.

Overview

  • An international team led by IIASA estimates about 1,460 billion tonnes of CO2 can be safely and feasibly stored underground, roughly one‑tenth of prior assumptions.
  • The assessment excludes formations judged risky or uneconomic, including sites beneath major population centers, seismic zones, and deep offshore reservoirs.
  • The authors caution the storage ceiling could be reached by around 2200 and note the estimate does not account for future technological advances.
  • Fully using the capacity could lower global temperatures by about 0.7C, with researchers urging prioritization for hard‑to‑abate sectors such as cement, aviation, and agriculture.
  • Current CCS activity captures about one‑thousandth of annual emissions, while industry groups contend emerging options like basalt mineralization could expand storage.