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Nature Study Finds Magma Drove Santorini Quake Swarm, Reveals Link to Nearby Kolumbo

Using AI with land and seafloor sensors, scientists mapped magma’s pulse-like ascent and say the results will sharpen real-time volcano surveillance.

Overview

  • Researchers report more than 28,000 earthquakes struck from late January to March 2025, with the strongest exceeding magnitude 5.0.
  • Roughly 300 million cubic meters of magma rose from the deep crust and settled about 4 kilometers beneath the seafloor, driving the swarm.
  • Magma first intruded a shallow reservoir beneath Santorini in July 2024, lifting the island by a few centimeters before quakes migrated northeast in pulses from about 18 kilometers depth.
  • GPS and InSAR data showed concurrent deflation at Santorini and Kolumbo, which the authors interpret as evidence of a hydraulic connection between the two volcanoes.
  • The reconstruction combined an AI-based earthquake-location method with ocean-bottom sensors deployed at Kolumbo by the MULTI-MAREX project, and monitoring has since been intensified.