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NATO to Seek 5% GDP Defence Commitment After German Intel Warns of Russian Testing Plans

The alliance will formalize spending and capability proposals at its June summit in The Hague to deter potential Russian probes of Article 5.

A K9 mobile self-propelled Howitzer (L) and an Archer self-propelled Howitzer (R) operated by the Swedish Artillery are seen during the NATO "Exercise Lightning Strike" on November 20, 2024 near Heinu, Finland
The President of the German Federal Intelligence Agency (BND) Bruno Kahl attends the opening ceremony of the new BND (Federal Intelligence Service) headquarter in Berlin, Germany, February 8, 2019.    REUTERS/Axel Schmidt/File Photo
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Rocket launch against the background of the evening field, the setting sun. stock photo

Overview

  • German intelligence chief Bruno Kahl says the BND has concrete evidence that Russia plans to test NATO’s resolve through covert “little green men” operations in neighbouring states.
  • NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte is urging allies to commit 5% of GDP to defence, with 3.5% for core military capabilities and 1.5% for dual-use infrastructure.
  • Russia’s military-industrial complex now produces as much ammunition in three months as NATO does in a year, highlighting a widening firepower gap.
  • To close capability shortfalls revealed in Ukraine, NATO plans to quadruple its air and missile defence capacity ahead of the Hague summit.
  • Officials warn Russia could probe NATO defences within three to five years, prompting leaders to finalise spending and readiness plans at the June 24–26 summit as questions persist over U.S. commitment.