Overview

• Estonia says three Russian MiG‑31s entered its airspace near Vaindloo for about 12 minutes on Friday before NATO aircraft intercepted them, a claim Moscow disputes.
• Allied envoys meet in Brussels on Tuesday under Article 4, while U.S. UN Ambassador Mike Waltz vowed the United States will defend every inch of NATO territory and President Trump affirmed support for the Baltics and Poland.
• Germany, 48 other countries and the EU issued a joint declaration calling the incidents a dangerous escalation and part of a broader pattern of Russian provocations.
• Poland’s Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Warsaw would shoot down violating aircraft if necessary, as NATO air policing stays on heightened alert following a separate Sunday scramble over the Baltic.
• Debate intensifies inside the alliance over potential changes to rules of engagement, with eastern members urging firmer responses and others warning against steps that could trigger wider conflict, while Ukraine reports continued tactical gains near Pokrowsk.