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NATO Says All Allies Will Meet 2% Defense Target in 2025 as Push Toward 5% Intensifies

Leaders attribute the surge to Russia’s 2022 invasion under sustained U.S. pressure.

Overview

  • NATO’s latest estimates, using data with a June 3, 2025 cut-off, project all 32 members at or above 2% of GDP this year.
  • Only Poland (4.48%), Lithuania (4.00%) and Latvia (3.73%) currently exceed the 3.5% core benchmark set in June.
  • Alliance-wide defense outlays are expected to surpass about $1.5 trillion in 2025, according to the report.
  • Secretary General Mark Rutte welcomed higher budgets but warned that cash must be turned into credible capabilities, saying 'Cash alone doesn't provide security.'
  • The 2035 pledge totals 5% of GDP—3.5% for core defense plus 1.5% for related resilience—with SACEUR Gen. Alexus Grynkewich vowing to hold nations to account on how funds are used.