Overview

• NATO’s newly released 2025 estimates project that every member will meet the two‑percent benchmark, with Iceland excepted because it has no armed forces.
• Germany’s final 2025 figure remains unresolved as the federal budget awaits Bundestag approval, so NATO has not published an estimate for Berlin.
• European allies and Canada are forecast to lift defense outlays by 15.9% to about $559 billion this year, a slower rise than 2024, while U.S. spending is estimated at roughly $845 billion.
• Total allied defense spending now stands near 1.6 trillion, according to NATO’s latest statistics.
• Poland leads by GDP share at 4.48%, followed by Lithuania at 4.00%, Estonia at 3.38%, and the United States at 3.22%, with previously lagging countries such as Spain, Italy, and Belgium now reaching two percent.