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NATO Intel Flags Suspected Russian 'Zone-Effect' Anti-Satellite Plan Aimed at Starlink

Anonymously sourced NATO findings triggered skepticism from space-security experts as Russia issued public denials.

Overview

  • The Associated Press reported that two NATO intelligence services suspect Russia is developing a pellet-based anti-satellite system designed to disrupt Starlink by saturating its orbital planes.
  • The alleged 'zone-effect' concept would release hundreds of thousands of millimeter-scale, high-density pellets to disable multiple satellites at once.
  • AP said it could not independently verify the intelligence, and an unnamed official described the program as in active development with no public deployment timeline.
  • Experts warned the approach could create uncontrollable debris that threatens many nations' spacecraft, with potential knock-on risks to lower orbits including crewed stations.
  • Reaction diverged: a Canadian space commander called the idea not implausible, France’s Space Command cited Russia’s recent hostile actions in space, and Russian state-linked voices dismissed the report as fabrication.