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NATO Estimates All Members Will Hit 2% Defense Spend in 2025 as Alliance Average Climbs to 2.76%

The figures are provisional NATO estimates derived from national submissions using macroeconomic projections available through June 3, 2025.

Overview

  • Allies counted by NATO total 31, excluding Iceland, with each estimated to meet or exceed the 2% of GDP benchmark in 2025.
  • The United States remains the largest spender at nearly $980 billion, equal to 3.22% of GDP in 2025.
  • Poland leads by share of GDP at 4.48% with about €44.3 billion, followed by other eastern flank states with elevated ratios.
  • Italy is listed at €45.3 billion or 2.01% in NATO’s tally, while some domestic reports cite a higher €48 billion figure.
  • Europe and Canada are estimated at 2.27% of GDP in 2025, up from 1.99% last year and 1.74% two years earlier, with NATO’s accounting covering payments made or planned for national forces, allies, or the Alliance.