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NASA Study Finds Sun’s Long-Term Activity Rebounded, Raising Space-Weather Risks

A peer-reviewed analysis of decades of ACE and Wind measurements identifies a sustained uptick since 2008 as new NASA and NOAA missions prepare to strengthen real-time monitoring.

Overview

  • Researchers report that key solar metrics—including solar wind properties, magnetic field strength, and sunspot counts—have trended upward since about 2008.
  • Solar Cycle 25 has far outpaced forecasts, producing unusually high sunspot numbers and a record tally of powerful X-class flares.
  • The study, published in The Astrophysical Journal Letters and led by NASA’s Jamie Jasinski, concludes the Sun is “slowly waking up” after expectations of a prolonged quiet phase.
  • Scientists say the causes of the multi-decade shift remain unclear and caution that longer-term solar behavior is difficult to predict.
  • With the likelihood of disruptive geomagnetic storms rising, NASA’s IMAP and Carruthers missions and NOAA’s SWFO-L1 are slated to deliver improved, continuous space-weather data for forecasting and infrastructure protection.